Description: Climate Change and Policy by Gabriele Gramelsberger, Johann Feichter Estimated delivery 3-12 business days Format Paperback Condition Brand New Description Climate Change and Policy provides first hand insight into climatologists strategies in dealing with uncertainty via simulation models. The text also explores the social, political and economical requirements in future prognoses on climate change. Publisher Description The debate on how mankind should respond to climate change is diverse, as the appropriate strategy depends on global as well as local circumstances.As scientists are denied the possibility of conducting experiments with the real climate, only climate models can give insights into man-induced climate change, by experimenting with digital climates under varying conditions and by extrapolating past and future states into the future. But the nature of models is a purely representational one. A model is good if it is believed to represent the relevant processes of a natural system well. However, a model and its results, in particular in the case of climate models which interconnect countless hypotheses, is only to some extent testable, although an advanced infrastructure of evaluation strategies has been developed involving strategies of model intercomparison, ensemble prognoses, uncertainty metrics on the system and component levels. The complexity of climate models goes hand in hand with uncertainties, but uncertainty is in conflict with socio-political expectations. However, certain predictions belong to the realm of desires and ideals rather than to applied science. Todays attempt to define and classify uncertainty in terms of likelihood and confidence reflect this awareness of uncertainty as an integral part of human knowledge, in particular on knowledge about possible future developments. The contributions in this book give a first hand insight into scientific strategies in dealing with uncertainty by using simulation models and into social, political and economical requirements in future projections on climate change. Do these strategies and requirements meet each other or fail?The debate on how mankind should respond to climate change is diverse, as the appropriate strategy depends on global as well as local circumstances. As scientists are denied the possibility of conducting experiments with the real climate, only climate models can give insights into man-induced climate change, by experimenting with digital climates under varying conditions and by extrapolating past and future states into the future. But the nature of models is a purely representational one. A model is good if it is believed to represent the relevant processes of a natural system well. However, a model and its results, in particular in the case of climate models which interconnect countless hypotheses, is only to some extent testable, although an advanced infrastructure of evaluation strategies has been developed involving strategies of model intercomparison, ensemble prognoses, uncertainty metrics on the system and component levels. The complexity of climate models goes hand in hand with uncertainties, but uncertainty is in conflict with socio-political expectations. However, certain predictions belong to the realm of desires and ideals rather than to applied science. Todays attempt to define and classify uncertainty in terms of likelihood and confidence reflect this awareness of uncertainty as an integral part of human knowledge, in particular on knowledge about possible future developments. The contributions in this book give a first hand insight into scientific strategies in dealing with uncertainty by using simulation models and into social, political and economical requirements in future projections on climate change. Do these strategies and requirements meet each other or fail? Gabriele Gramelsberger is Principal Investigator of the Collaborative Research Project is Principal Investigator of the Collaborative Research Project Author Biography Gabriele Gramelsberger investigates as a science philosopher at the FU Berlin the influence of computer based simulations as new scientific tools for knowledge production, in particular in climate research. Since 2002 she is a member of the BBAW initiative "Science Policy Studies". 2007 she received the Blankesee-Colloquium Award from the presidents of the Berlin universities and academies. Johann Feichter is head of the group "Aerosols, Clouds and Climate" at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Hamburg. He worked on the development of the German climate model and contributed to the 3rd and 4th IPCC assessment reports. Details ISBN 3642439624 ISBN-13 9783642439629 Title Climate Change and Policy Author Gabriele Gramelsberger, Johann Feichter Format Paperback Year 2014 Pages 241 Edition 2011th Publisher Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. KG GE_Item_ID:137731107; About Us Grand Eagle Retail is the ideal place for all your shopping needs! With fast shipping, low prices, friendly service and over 1,000,000 in stock items - you're bound to find what you want, at a price you'll love! Shipping & Delivery Times Shipping is FREE to any address in USA. Please view eBay estimated delivery times at the top of the listing. Deliveries are made by either USPS or Courier. We are unable to deliver faster than stated. International deliveries will take 1-6 weeks. NOTE: We are unable to offer combined shipping for multiple items purchased. 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ISBN-13: 9783642439629
Book Title: Climate Change and Policy
Number of Pages: VIII, 241 Pages
Publication Name: Climate Change and Policy : the Calculability of Climate Change and the Challenge of Uncertainty
Language: English
Publisher: Springer Berlin / Heidelberg
Subject: Environmental Science (See Also Chemistry / Environmental), Information Theory, Earth Sciences / Meteorology & Climatology, General, Global Warming & Climate Change
Publication Year: 2014
Type: Textbook
Item Weight: 13.8 Oz
Subject Area: Computers, Political Science, Science
Item Length: 9.3 in
Author: Johann Feichter
Item Width: 6.1 in
Format: Trade Paperback
